Friday, January 14, 2005

Asian Development Bank reports on Asian Tsunami economic effects

by Brian Turner

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has reported on the expected after-effects of ths Asian Tsunami disaster, and reports that it predicts 2 million people will be thrown into poverty.

Because no major cities or manufacturing infrastructure was affected, economic growth is not expected to be significantly reduced in the general South-Asia area. However, the lowest economic classes are expected to be the worst affected in the short to mid-term, not least because of coastal farming areas being inundated with salt water.

Although debt relief has been offered, only Sri Lanka, Indonesia, and the Seychelles have taken up offers of debt relief so far. Other nations have refused to accept credit holidays, on the grounds that they would face investment downgrades on their credit rating, leading to higher long-term borrowing costs.

India and Thailand have especially cited strong economic growth, exchange rates, and strong stock markets, as empowering their nations with the economic power to rebuild coastal areas and tourism markets.

Sri Lanka and the Maldives are two countries the Asian Development Bank especially considers as being at risk, with Sri Lanka estimating its own reconstruction costs as being in the region of $3 billion.

 

 

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